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Red120
851356.9
218010.4
314254.6
Blue62
1060015.3
5634.8
428522.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1346605010015020012062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+36Teleop
+56Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points19
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
58Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +58
2Foul points0
120Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
56.656.5
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 22.1
56
#12
34.80.2
33.933.7
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
Second
54.60.1
54.454.3
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 31.8
4285
#16
22.80.2
21.921.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
2180
#22
10.40.1
10.610.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 4.8
15.30.2
14.414.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1