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Red91
181142.2
55539.1
704516.0
Blue74
858823.8
870623.1
863028.4
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104812040601201401601809174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points22
16Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
61Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points10
91Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#10
42.20.0
40.640.6
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 13.9
8630
#18
28.40.3
29.028.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
Second
555
#6
39.10.0
37.537.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 15.3
8588
#15
23.80.3
24.524.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Third
7045
#14
16.00.0
14.414.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 7.1
23.10.3
23.723.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2