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Red142
22247.7
807515.6
83455.8
Blue66
75225.9
30327.0
21919.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124725010015014266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
90Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
142Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.80.7
53.454.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 28.9
303
#26
27.00.2
27.727.5
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Second
222
#2
47.70.7
45.346.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
red by 21.8
752
#9
25.90.2
26.726.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Third
8075
#20
15.60.7
13.213.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 4.1
219
#24
19.70.2
20.520.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3