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Red156
164041.8
167651.3
942421.5
Blue98
127933.6
167228.1
71424.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124865010015020015698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+36Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
97Total teleop74
Reef
11L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
156Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#11
51.31.0
50.351.2
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
red by 17.7
33.60.3
32.833.1
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Second
41.81.0
40.841.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
red by 13.7
1672
#28
28.10.3
27.327.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Third
9424
#19
21.51.0
20.521.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 2.9
714
#21
24.40.3
23.623.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1