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Red102
181142.2
55539.1
704516.0
Blue95
127933.6
167228.1
71424.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102912040608012014016018010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points11
27Total auto20
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
65Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points6
102Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#10
42.20.0
41.241.2
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 8.6
33.60.1
33.533.6
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Second
555
#6
39.10.0
38.038.1
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 11.0
1672
#28
28.10.1
28.028.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Third
7045
#14
16.00.0
15.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 8.4
714
#21
24.40.1
24.324.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1