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Red66
613226.1
453923.6
565330.3
Blue99
767716.9
818829.9
329424.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101010501502002503006699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+45
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#17
24Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
66Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#19
30.31.9
28.326.3
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
red by 0.3
8188
#18
29.90.6
32.232.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
Second
26.11.9
32.630.6
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9
red by 1.4
3294
#22
24.70.8
27.127.9
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
Third
4539
#10
23.61.9
31.129.2
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9
red by 6.7
7677
#21
16.90.6
24.525.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned