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Red109
327516.8
591372.2
467430.7
Blue97
858617.2
288364.5
462320.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110805020025030010997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
6L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
109Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.22.4
73.170.7
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
red by 7.7
64.50.5
66.065.5
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End8.5
Second
4674
#11
30.72.4
34.432.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
red by 10.6
4623
#12
20.00.7
19.719.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End1.7
Third
3275
#16
16.82.4
24.922.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 0.4
17.20.5
18.718.2
Auto1.8
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned