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Red81
887817.3
331334.4
525331.9
Blue26
313421.7
418121.5
329750.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151350502002503003508126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+63Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
50Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
81Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#13
34.41.3
42.841.4
Auto12.7
Teleop16.3
End5.4
blue by 16.3
50.76.0
56.050.0
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
Second
31.91.3
36.735.4
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
red by 10.3
3134
#24
21.76.0
29.723.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Third
8878
#23
17.31.3
18.717.4
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End3.1
blue by 4.2
4181
#15
21.56.0
27.421.4
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed