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Red85
565330.3
448012.8
331334.4
Blue90
887817.3
858617.2
250328.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975601502008590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
25Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
24Foul points8
85Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#13
34.41.3
40.839.4
Auto12.7
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 5.9
28.51.5
26.928.4
Auto4.4
Teleop21.9
End2.1
Second
5653
#19
30.31.3
27.325.9
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
red by 13.0
8878
#23
17.31.5
15.116.6
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
4480
#20
12.81.3
13.111.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 4.4
17.21.5
17.519.0
Auto1.8
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned