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Red128
87657.7
613226.1
329750.7
Blue77
525331.9
462320.0
645310.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17660010015020025030012877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
90Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
128Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#4
57.71.1
63.362.1
Auto13.3
Teleop36.4
End8.1
red by 25.8
31.90.7
34.034.7
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
Second
50.71.1
49.448.3
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
red by 30.6
4623
#12
20.00.8
20.221.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End1.7
Third
26.11.1
29.228.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9
red by 15.8
6453
#27
10.30.8
9.910.6
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed