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Red87
418121.5
327733.9
327819.5
Blue54
329424.7
327516.8
842227.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89862040601001201408754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
73Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
87Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
34.334.6
Auto5.5
Teleop27.1
End1.3
red by 6.0
8422
#14
27.81.8
29.527.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Second
4181
#15
21.50.2
22.422.6
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End2.1
blue by 3.2
3294
#22
24.72.0
25.223.2
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
Third
3278
#26
19.50.2
20.821.0
Auto3.3
Teleop17.4
End-1.1
red by 2.8
3275
#16
16.81.8
21.619.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed