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Red110
591372.2
723513.7
858617.2
Blue80
453923.6
525331.9
767716.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339505015020025011080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+42Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
71Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points12
110Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.6
69.368.6
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
red by 40.3
31.92.0
34.732.6
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
Second
17.20.6
19.018.4
Auto1.8
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 6.5
4539
#10
23.62.0
27.025.0
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9
Third
7235
#25
13.70.6
19.218.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End4.0
blue by 3.2
7677
#21
16.92.0
21.619.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed