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Red86
565330.3
887817.3
818829.9
Blue88
327516.8
87657.7
327733.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721370501001502002508688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
86Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#19
30.30.7
25.926.6
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
blue by 27.5
876
#4
57.71.9
62.160.2
Auto13.3
Teleop36.4
End8.1
Second
8188
#18
29.90.7
31.231.9
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
blue by 3.9
33.91.9
34.632.7
Auto5.5
Teleop27.1
End1.3
Third
8878
#23
17.30.7
16.617.3
Auto2.8
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 0.6
3275
#16
16.81.9
19.717.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned