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Red76
329424.7
313421.7
467430.7
Blue83
327819.5
250328.5
645310.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776501001502002503003507683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
64Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
76Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#11
30.70.3
29.429.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
red by 2.2
28.51.5
28.429.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.9
End2.1
Second
3294
#22
24.70.3
23.223.5
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
red by 5.2
3278
#26
19.51.5
21.022.6
Auto3.3
Teleop17.4
End-1.1
Third
3134
#24
21.70.3
18.719.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 11.4
6453
#27
10.31.5
10.612.2
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned