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Red88
310225.5
613226.1
327516.8
Blue188
87657.7
591372.2
313421.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61178010015020025030088188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+80
Endgame+100
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +59
11Coral scored#24
40Coral points87
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
66Total teleop125
Reef
5L4#16
3L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points0
88Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
28.428.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9
blue by 46.1
72.21.9
68.970.8
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
Second
3102
#17
25.50.5
22.623.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 32.2
876
#4
57.71.9
60.262.2
Auto13.3
Teleop36.4
End8.1
Third
3275
#16
16.80.5
17.818.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 4.9
3134
#24
21.71.9
19.020.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned