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Red121
448012.8
288364.5
329424.7
Blue71
818829.9
331334.4
645310.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139105010015012171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+56Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
76Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points6
121Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.51.5
62.664.1
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End8.5
red by 30.1
3313
#13
34.41.1
38.036.9
Auto12.7
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Second
3294
#22
24.71.5
23.525.0
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
blue by 5.2
8188
#18
29.91.1
31.930.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
Third
4480
#20
12.81.5
12.013.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 2.5
6453
#27
10.31.1
12.211.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned