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Qual 252025 NMRC Championship
Red28
327516.8
767716.9
723513.7
Blue63
448012.8
329750.7
645310.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598901001502002502863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
28Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
#21
16.91.6
18.5→16.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.1
blue by 33.8
3297
#5
50.70.7
49.4→48.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
Second
3275
#16
16.81.6
18.4→16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 4.0
4480
#20
12.80.7
13.5→12.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Third
7235
#25
13.71.6
15.3→13.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End4.0
red by 3.4
6453
#27
10.30.7
11.0→10.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed