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Red94
842227.8
327733.9
313421.7
Blue116
331334.4
591372.2
453923.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8516105010020025094116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
62Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
94Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.8
33.734.5
Auto5.5
Teleop27.1
End1.3
blue by 38.3
72.21.0
70.869.8
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
Second
8422
#14
27.80.8
27.528.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End7.7
blue by 6.6
3313
#13
34.41.0
36.935.9
Auto12.7
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Third
3134
#24
21.70.8
20.921.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 1.9
4539
#10
23.61.0
22.922.0
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned