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Red71
462320.0
327819.5
329424.7
Blue88
525331.9
565330.3
310225.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68960501502007188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
61Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
71Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
#22
24.70.3
25.025.3
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
blue by 7.2
31.90.3
32.232.6
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
Second
4623
#12
20.00.3
20.220.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End1.7
blue by 10.2
5653
#19
30.30.3
27.627.9
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Third
3278
#26
19.50.3
20.721.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.4
End-1.1
blue by 6.0
3102
#17
25.50.3
23.123.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed