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Red100
327819.5
331334.4
87657.7
Blue136
329750.7
310225.5
818829.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135108050150200100136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points29
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#22
42Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
82Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#10
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
100Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#4
57.70.4
59.358.9
Auto13.3
Teleop36.4
End8.1
red by 7.1
50.70.8
48.649.4
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
Second
3313
#13
34.40.4
35.935.6
Auto12.7
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 4.5
8188
#18
29.90.8
27.928.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
Third
3278
#26
19.50.4
21.120.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.4
End-1.1
blue by 6.0
3102
#17
25.50.8
23.524.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End2.1