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Red89
329424.7
327733.9
525331.9
Blue95
842227.8
462320.0
250328.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105820501502008995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
67Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
89Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
34.534.4
Auto5.5
Teleop27.1
End1.3
red by 5.4
28.50.4
28.929.3
Auto4.4
Teleop21.9
End2.1
Second
31.90.1
32.632.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.0
End1.4
red by 4.1
8422
#14
27.80.4
28.328.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Third
3294
#22
24.70.1
25.325.3
Auto2.1
Teleop18.1
End4.6
red by 4.7
4623
#12
20.00.4
20.520.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End1.7