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Red131
591372.2
453923.6
565330.3
Blue161
329750.7
310225.5
818829.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136109050150200250131161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
21Coral scored#23
74Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#9
18Processor points12
12Net points36
30Algae points48
104Total teleop129
Reef
7L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
131Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.1
69.870.0
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
red by 21.5
50.71.2
49.450.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.7
End8.3
Second
5653
#19
30.30.1
27.928.0
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
red by 0.3
8188
#18
29.91.2
28.729.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End1.4
Third
4539
#10
23.60.1
22.022.1
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9
blue by 1.9
3102
#17
25.51.2
24.325.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End2.1