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Red132
87657.7
288364.5
453923.6
Blue49
448012.8
327819.5
467430.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2016705010015025030035013249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+59Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#7
70Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
92Total teleop37
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#11
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
132Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.52.2
65.563.3
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End8.5
red by 33.8
4674
#11
30.71.6
32.030.4
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Second
876
#4
57.72.2
67.765.5
Auto13.3
Teleop36.4
End8.1
red by 38.2
3278
#26
19.51.6
23.121.4
Auto3.3
Teleop17.4
End-1.1
Third
4539
#10
23.62.2
29.227.0
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9
red by 10.9
4480
#20
12.81.6
15.714.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed