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Red18
313421.7
723513.7
645310.3
Blue81
462320.0
418121.5
565330.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76732040601001201881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+53
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +53
2Coral scored#10
8Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
8Total teleop61
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
18Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#24
21.73.0
23.720.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 8.6
5653
#19
30.30.9
26.327.3
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Second
7235
#25
13.73.0
22.219.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End4.0
blue by 7.8
4181
#15
21.50.9
21.422.4
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Third
6453
#27
10.33.6
13.59.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 9.7
4623
#12
20.01.2
19.120.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned