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Red91
467430.7
613226.1
288364.5
Blue154
591372.2
453923.6
565330.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341368010012016018091154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+53
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
62Total teleop108
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
91Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.7
65.264.5
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End8.5
blue by 7.7
72.20.7
71.171.8
Auto12.6
Teleop49.8
End9.8
Second
4674
#11
30.70.7
31.430.7
Auto4.8
Teleop20.0
End5.9
red by 0.4
5653
#19
30.30.7
29.229.9
Auto4.3
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Third
26.10.7
26.826.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End4.9
red by 2.5
4539
#10
23.60.7
22.523.2
Auto2.7
Teleop17.0
End3.9