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Red79
329743.1
569036.8
327516.6
Blue91
723513.9
565333.8
818828.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126770501001502002503003507991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
59Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
79Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#12
43.12.0
50.748.7
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
red by 9.4
5653
#11
33.80.9
30.331.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
Second
5690
#15
36.82.0
38.636.6
Auto5.0
Teleop30.2
End1.6
red by 8.5
28.30.9
29.930.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
Third
16.62.0
16.814.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 2.7
7235
#16
13.90.9
13.714.7
Auto1.4
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed