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Red56
1122320.7
250332.4
453918.4
Blue44
767719.0
467430.1
327732.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759002003004005006007005644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
40Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
56Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.9
28.527.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.4
End3.1
blue by 0.3
3277
#21
32.72.5
33.931.4
Auto6.4
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Second
20.74.4
20.716.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.9
End1.1
blue by 9.4
30.12.5
30.728.2
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
Third
4539
#13
18.40.9
23.622.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 0.7
7677
#18
19.02.5
16.914.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed