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Red81
767719.0
327516.6
331332.6
Blue35
453918.4
85869.8
327823.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745501002003004005008135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
44Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
81Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#14
32.61.1
31.933.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 9.6
3278
#10
23.01.3
20.819.5
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End-0.2
Second
7677
#18
19.01.1
16.617.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
red by 0.7
4539
#13
18.41.3
22.220.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
Third
16.61.1
15.416.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.1
red by 6.8
8586
#24
9.81.3
12.110.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed