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Red101
329743.1
467430.1
723513.9
Blue141
310228.6
87662.5
887823.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90112050150200101141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
61Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
12Foul points0
101Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#12
43.10.4
44.243.8
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
blue by 19.3
876
#3
62.52.2
58.760.9
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
Second
30.10.4
27.727.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
red by 1.5
3102
#20
28.62.2
26.128.3
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Third
7235
#16
13.90.4
13.813.4
Auto1.4
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 9.2
23.02.2
15.317.5
Auto3.2
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned