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Red81
725763.6
818828.3
453918.4
Blue68
842224.4
85869.8
569036.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145690501002002503008168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
44Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points8
81Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.62.6
68.265.6
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
red by 26.8
5690
#15
36.80.8
36.035.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.2
End1.6
Second
28.32.6
30.828.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
red by 4.0
8422
#19
24.40.8
24.924.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Third
4539
#13
18.42.6
20.918.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
red by 8.6
8586
#24
9.80.8
10.810.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned