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Red124
1122320.7
565333.8
887823.0
Blue108
725763.6
331332.6
723513.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581430100200250300124108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
96Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
124Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#11
33.83.3
29.432.7
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
blue by 29.8
63.61.5
65.664.1
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
Second
23.03.3
19.422.7
Auto3.2
Teleop16.8
End3.1
blue by 9.5
3313
#14
32.61.5
34.633.1
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Third
20.75.6
13.118.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.9
End1.1
red by 6.8
7235
#16
13.91.5
15.313.8
Auto1.4
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned