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Red114
569036.8
327823.0
327732.7
Blue58
313420.8
327516.6
310228.6
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986805015020011458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
98Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
114Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#15
36.81.8
35.337.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.2
End1.6
red by 8.2
3102
#20
28.60.6
28.628.0
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Second
3277
#21
32.71.8
30.332.1
Auto6.4
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 12.0
3134
#23
20.80.6
20.119.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
Third
3278
#10
23.01.8
21.423.2
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End-0.2
red by 6.4
16.60.6
17.917.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed