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Red152
87662.5
467430.1
250332.4
Blue67
525330.9
85869.8
818828.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436405010020025015267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +75
25Coral scored#9
91Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
119Total teleop44
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#2
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
152Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.51.8
62.364.1
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
red by 31.6
5253
#22
30.90.3
30.930.6
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End1.3
Second
32.41.8
31.032.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.4
End3.1
red by 4.1
28.30.3
28.227.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
Third
30.11.8
29.030.8
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
red by 20.3
8586
#24
9.80.3
10.09.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed