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Red82
767719.0
525330.9
310228.6
Blue107
467430.1
725763.6
327516.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76131020030040050060082107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
59Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
82Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5253
#22
30.90.3
30.630.9
Auto4.6
Teleop25.0
End1.3
blue by 32.7
63.60.8
64.163.4
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
Second
3102
#20
28.60.3
28.028.4
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
30.10.8
30.830.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End6.5
Third
7677
#18
19.00.3
18.719.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.6
red by 2.4
16.60.8
17.416.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned