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Red87
331332.6
448016.9
313420.8
Blue109
818828.3
250332.4
329743.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912405010015020025087109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +45
7Coral scored#19
26Coral points69
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
38Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
87Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#14
32.61.2
33.134.3
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
blue by 10.6
3297
#12
43.10.2
44.744.9
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
Second
3134
#23
20.81.2
19.520.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 11.7
32.40.2
32.833.0
Auto4.9
Teleop24.4
End3.1
Third
4480
#17
16.91.2
15.716.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End2.9
blue by 11.4
28.30.2
27.928.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned