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Red95
85869.8
87662.5
723513.9
Blue97
842224.4
327732.7
1122320.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102820501502009597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
63Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
95Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.50.1
64.164.2
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
red by 29.7
3277
#21
32.71.2
32.133.3
Auto6.4
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Second
7235
#16
13.90.1
13.813.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 10.5
8422
#19
24.41.2
23.224.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Third
8586
#24
9.80.1
9.79.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 10.9
20.72.0
18.720.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed