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Red137
288364.5
453918.4
565333.8
Blue148
818828.3
310228.6
725763.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231330200300400500137148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
22Coral scored#19
80Coral points70
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
6Processor points24
12Net points24
18Algae points48
98Total teleop118
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#4
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points8
137Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.5
64.364.8
Auto11.3
Teleop43.6
End9.5
red by 0.9
63.60.4
63.463.8
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
Second
5653
#11
33.80.5
33.133.5
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
red by 5.2
3102
#20
28.60.4
28.428.8
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Third
4539
#13
18.40.5
17.718.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 9.9
28.30.4
28.128.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3