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Red107
569036.8
327732.7
250332.4
Blue131
331332.6
329743.1
87662.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106165050200250300350107131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
84Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#7
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
107Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#15
36.80.1
37.437.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.2
End1.6
blue by 25.7
876
#3
62.50.3
64.263.9
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
Second
3277
#21
32.70.1
33.333.2
Auto6.4
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 10.4
3297
#12
43.10.3
44.944.6
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
Third
32.40.1
33.032.9
Auto4.9
Teleop24.4
End3.1
blue by 0.1
3313
#14
32.60.3
34.334.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3