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Red111
818828.3
310228.6
725763.6
Blue142
331332.6
329743.1
87662.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131159050100200250300350111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
21Coral scored#19
77Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
91Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
111Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.2
63.863.6
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
red by 1.1
876
#3
62.50.0
63.963.9
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
Second
3102
#20
28.60.2
28.828.6
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
blue by 14.6
3297
#12
43.10.0
44.644.6
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
Third
28.30.2
28.628.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
blue by 4.2
3313
#14
32.60.0
34.034.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3