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Red120
818828.3
310228.6
725763.6
Blue147
288364.5
453918.4
565333.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212350100150200120147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
96Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#8
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
120Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.60.0
63.663.6
Auto9.4
Teleop44.9
End9.2
blue by 0.9
64.50.7
64.565.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.6
End9.5
Second
3102
#20
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto5.3
Teleop20.9
End2.4
blue by 5.2
5653
#11
33.80.7
33.334.0
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
Third
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.6
End0.3
red by 9.9
4539
#13
18.40.7
17.918.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5