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Red118
331332.6
329743.1
87662.5
Blue84
288364.5
453918.4
565333.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16012405010020025011884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points19
40Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
118Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.50.7
63.963.2
Auto13.3
Teleop41.2
End7.9
blue by 2.0
64.50.8
65.264.5
Auto11.3
Teleop43.6
End9.5
Second
3297
#12
43.10.7
44.643.9
Auto5.6
Teleop29.6
End8.0
red by 9.4
5653
#11
33.80.8
34.033.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.1
End5.5
Third
3313
#14
32.60.7
34.033.3
Auto11.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 14.2
4539
#13
18.40.8
18.617.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End4.5