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Red79
764527.8
858513.4
713026.5
Blue84
942740.6
912643.7
699837.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66720501001502007984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
66Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points8
79Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#33
27.82.0
21.823.8
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
blue by 15.9
43.71.2
23.524.7
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Second
7130
#20
26.52.0
19.521.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
blue by 14.1
9427
#19
40.61.2
18.319.5
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
Third
8585
#25
13.42.0
17.019.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
blue by 24.2
6998
#16
37.51.2
20.621.8
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed