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Red93
588315.8
859536.8
971515.0
Blue26
763618.3
856911.9
872321.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6465304050607080909326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +29
8Coral scored#2
28Coral points7
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
42Total teleop13
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
30Foul points8
93Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.4
21.121.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 15.4
8723
#37
21.44.7
17.813.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Second
5883
#22
15.80.4
22.623.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
blue by 2.5
7636
#30
18.34.7
19.915.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Third
9715
#34
15.00.4
12.713.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 3.1
8569
#36
11.94.7
19.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed