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Red132
763245.0
713026.5
859536.8
Blue97
1011423.1
767320.3
624517.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8842020608010012014016013297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
107Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
132Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.05.3
29.734.9
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
red by 21.8
23.14.2
17.021.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Second
36.85.3
23.628.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
red by 16.5
7673
#28
20.32.5
6.69.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Third
7130
#20
26.55.3
20.225.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
red by 9.2
6245
#17
17.34.2
18.022.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned