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Red110
87909.3
850346.4
425347.1
Blue50
858513.4
880626.4
858418.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9867020408012014016011050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
25Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
47Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
14Foul points0
110Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.10.4
36.436.8
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
red by 20.8
8806
#15
26.42.0
26.724.7
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
Second
46.40.4
34.935.3
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 27.9
8584
#24
18.52.0
16.114.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
8790
#35
9.30.6
14.214.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 4.1
8585
#25
13.42.0
19.017.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned