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Red71
950141.1
956413.4
872321.4
Blue124
425347.1
858513.4
907923.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6786020406010012014071124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
58Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
71Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
#14
41.10.7
31.031.6
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
blue by 6.1
47.12.5
36.839.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
Second
8723
#37
21.40.7
15.215.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 1.6
23.04.1
18.122.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Third
9564
#26
13.40.7
12.913.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Level
8585
#25
13.44.1
17.121.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned