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Red49
300820.6
856911.9
752616.1
Blue147
859536.8
861350.4
699837.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46115010015020049147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+92
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +48
6Coral scored#18
21Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points6
49Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#29
20.60.1
19.819.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
blue by 29.8
8613
#11
50.44.9
42.647.5
Auto10.1
Teleop34.7
End5.6
Second
7526
#27
16.10.1
15.715.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 21.5
6998
#16
37.54.9
23.428.3
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
8569
#36
11.90.1
11.911.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 24.9
36.84.9
28.333.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned