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Red77
942740.6
1011423.1
907923.0
Blue80
694729.1
87909.3
770945.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80850501502002503003504007780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
59Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
77Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#19
40.60.6
30.130.7
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
blue by 4.5
45.10.7
37.538.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
Second
23.10.6
17.818.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
blue by 6.0
6947
#13
29.10.7
25.025.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Third
23.00.6
21.722.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 13.7
8790
#35
9.30.7
11.612.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed