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Red99
758923.8
763245.0
764527.8
Blue87
956413.4
425347.1
802036.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891054060801201401609987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+20Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points10
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
73Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
99Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.01.3
37.438.7
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
blue by 2.2
47.10.2
40.139.9
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
Second
7645
#33
27.81.3
28.730.0
Auto6.2
Teleop19.4
End2.2
blue by 8.7
36.50.4
37.236.8
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
Third
7589
#10
23.81.3
15.416.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
red by 10.4
9564
#26
13.40.4
12.912.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned