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Red62
816928.9
588315.8
858418.5
Blue37
858513.4
1003414.8
872321.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726101001502002503003506237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop22
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points4
62Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
#23
28.90.8
23.823.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
red by 7.4
8723
#37
21.42.6
20.517.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
Second
8584
#24
18.50.8
13.913.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
red by 3.7
14.82.6
14.511.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
Third
5883
#22
15.80.8
22.721.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End0.5
red by 2.5
8585
#25
13.42.6
18.616.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed